Things are becoming clearer friends, what with Fish's Red Sox recent 2-1 series win over the KC Butler Royals (as played by Nick). With that series win Fish completed his regular season, sitting at 20-16, one game ahead of Keith, and in 1st place. More importantly though, he has clinched a playoff slot and at a minimum, the #2 seed.
As a cascade effect, Butler losing 2 of 3 to Fish also clinched a playoff spot for Torto, as my squad holds the W-L record tiebreaker over Nick. So if Butts sweeps me out on my last series, I still finish ahead of Nick via tiebreaker. At this point, my Yankees still control their fate. Sweep Butler, and I am regular season champ and #1 seed. Win 2 of 3 and I tie Fish in standings, but Fish wins regular season title and #1 seed due to runs scored head-to-head tiebreak (we finished 3-3, but with runs going 24-20, Fish). If I win 1 of 3 vs. Butts, then I slip to 3rd place and the #3 seed (Keith has me h2h).
For Butler to get in, he needs to now win at least 5 of his last 6 games (and possibly all six) to hit a 0.500 record and push Nick for the tiebreak. Nick and Butler split 3-3 this season, so it comes down to runs scored, which I have no idea who wins. Gents, you'll have to inform us on the winner of that tiebreak, because it may or may not end up to be critical. From the 3 games posted on this site, its an 11-11 tie...
Basically it comes down to Butts winning lots of games to get in and steal Nick's all but locked up #4 seed. The law of averages says that the playoffs will probably look like this...
#1 Fish vs. #4 Nick
#2 Keith vs. #3 Torto
...but Butler's team can be deadly with that Jeter-Pedroia-Mauer-Cabrera top 4. Can't wait to see how this shakes out.
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For the playoff picture...
ReplyDeleteAlthough I would have to count it up, I think Fish holds a runs-tiebreak over me (based mostly on an absolute battering of Jake Peavy back in August), while I hold a runs-scored tiebreak over Butler.
FYI...
Your tie-break vs. Fish is irrelevant. But I did enjoy your fantasizing about finishing over 0.500 and tying with him.
ReplyDeleteIf you hold the tiebreak in runs over Butts, then it will take a him a clean sweep of 6 games now to make it in.
Will he be driving the boat for the last 6 games, or you? Or someone else?